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But also the folks who predicted that we would be manning space stations in Saturn's orbit by now - when no human has left low earth orbit for 50 years or so.
by sgt101 3y ago
But also the folks who predicted that we would be manning space stations in Saturn's orbit by now - when no human has left low earth orbit for 50 years or so.
I think intelligence is similar; the work of yesteryear pointed towards the possibilities of "flight", LLM's provided the same sort of boost as the space race of the 50's and 60's. I am not sure where the analogy ends and if a "moonshot" will happen - or if things will stall at some point. At the moment I am thinking that a stall might happen. Auto regressive techniques have given us a very very clever hans, reinforcement learning seems to have disappeared from sight, graph networks are giving us fantastic tools (weather, biology) but nothing that appears or claims to have cognition.
- bondarchuk 3y ago>nothing that appears or claims to have cognition Keep in mind LLMs are explicitly trained to avoid claiming they have cognition.
- sgt101 3y agoSomeone forgot to tell Anthropic about that...
- FrustratedMonky 3y agoBut we could have. If the US had kept funding Nasa at the same pace as during the space race, we probably could have moon colonies and ships heading to Saturn. It isn't a technology problem, it is a funding problem.
- bakuninsbart 3y agoThere are plenty examples of self-awareness and reasoning, and even some that are arguably emotive, like laziness, annoyance or playfulness. I'm not sure what cognition means in this context, but I suspect it has some kind of metaphysical component to it?
- alpaca128 3y agoExamples of apparent self-awareness. With the cases I've seen so far the simplest explanation is that it used a phrase from an internet discussion and it's near impossible to prove otherwise. I do believe artificial self-awareness is possible but I doubt we're at that point already. And until it reaches a certain level it will remain indistinguishable from patterns in training data.
- dragonwriter 3y ago> There are plenty examples of self-awareness and reasoning There aren't even objective, empirical definitions of “self-awareness” or “reasoning” that would support claims of examples. Those things are subjective internal experiences, not verifiable phenomena.