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Take a look at the already expired March cocoa futures.[0] This is clearly not speculation. >The normal thing instead would for people to eat less chocolate un
by fngjdflmdflg 3y ago
Take a look at the already expired March cocoa futures.[0] This is clearly not speculation.
>The normal thing instead would for people to eat less chocolate until there is enough supply
The cost of cocoa is not identical to the cost of chocolate.
>Based on a 200g milk chocolate bar costing €2, cocoa
comprises around 10 percent of total costs; sugar 1 percent;
milk products 6 percent; production, packaging and
marketing and profits around 78 percent and tax 6 percent. [1]
This means a 3x increase in prices would make the bar cost €2.60. There are also products that use only small amounts of chocolate, reducing the total increase even further. For example the increase in chocolate costs in a chocolate chip cookie is negligible.
[0] https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/CCH24 https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/CCH24
[1] https://edepot.wur.nl/335476 https://edepot.wur.nl/335476