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No, I don't think nice round numbers like 20 or 100 years show a pattern. I like to think more in terms of generations: 15 to 30 years. I can't predict the futu
by mmphosis 3y ago
No, I don't think nice round numbers like 20 or 100 years show a pattern. I like to think more in terms of generations: 15 to 30 years. I can't predict the future. Please take my 30 year time-line idea as numerology where similarly numbered years must resemble each other. It's broken into a decade each of boom-bust-war:
1890 boom "Klondike Gold Rush"
1900 bust "Panic of 1901"
1910 war WW1
1920 boom "Roaring"
1930 bust "Great Depression"
1940 war WW2
1950 boom "Golden Age" [1]
1960 bust [2]
1970 war Viet Nam
1980 boom "Long" [3]
1990 bust [4] [5]
2000 war Afghanistan, Iraq
2010 boom [6]
2020 bust [7]
2030 war [8]
Of course, there are booms, busts and wars occurring at anytime. And some parts of the world might feel like they are in the future and some in the past.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post%E2%80%93World_War_II_economic_expansion#Timeline https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post%E2%80%93World_War_II_econ...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recession_of_1960%E2%80%931961 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recession_of_1960%E2%80%931961
[3] https://www.hoover.org/research/ten-causes-reagan-boom-1982-1997 https://www.hoover.org/research/ten-causes-reagan-boom-1982-...
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_1990s_recession_in_the_United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_1990s_recession_in_the_U...
[5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble
[6] https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2020/02/17/obamas-2009-recovery-act-kicked-off-over-10-years-of-economic-growth/ https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2020/02/17/obamas-20...
[7] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_impact_of_the_COVID-19_pandemic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_impact_of_the_COVID-1...
[8] https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR2800/RR2849z1/RAND_RR2849z1.pdf https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/...
- Izkata 3y agoYou may be interested in https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss%E2%80%93Howe_generational_theory https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss%E2%80%93Howe_generat...