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You can reverse engineer probabilities (or P-words if you don't want to call them that) from the bets you would make. Obviously there's a problem there if every
by Vecr 3y ago
You can reverse engineer probabilities (or P-words if you don't want to call them that) from the bets you would make. Obviously there's a problem there if everyone's dead, but they don't have to be literal bets. Someone could estimate your P-word of doom by what you say and how you think about things/act. The article argues that it's fine for you to just come out and say it.