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here’s a map for just North America that includes weather forecasts https://ncsu.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=a65a18758b264f1790665a68b858b3d
by wwarner 3y ago
here’s a map for just North America that includes weather forecasts https://ncsu.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=a65a18758b264f1790665a68b858b3d6 https://ncsu.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id...
- jayknight 3y agoThanks. I don't quite trust it this far out, but where I'm going is around 50% chance of being clear. If it's supposed to be cloudy, I plan on driving toward clearer spots that morning, so this gives me an idea of which way I should go (matches what I had expected, which is to go south toward Texas.)
- margalabargala 3y agoI don't think that's a forecast (eclipse is still 20 days away) but rather it's a count of how many days of each type of cloud condition that area has had in the past on this date.
- meatmanek 3y agoUsing historical averages is a valid way to forecast things so long as you understand that you're just getting a rough probability distribution.
- margalabargala 3y agoI mean sure, but when people think "weather forecast" they usually think "forecast based on current/recent conditions" not "forecast based on conditions at least one year prior".
- jader201 3y agoThat actually makes me feel better about the data, vs. had it been an attempt to use other models to predict that actual weather, that would have pretty much zero trust in this far out.