Must every other comment be "LLMs will change everything"? No, we will not "soon have ungodly powerful generative AIs". At least, it's not likely. When we land

Must every other comment be "LLMs will change everything"? No, we will not "soon have ungodly powerful generative AIs". At least, it's not likely. When we landed on the moon, people thought we would soon have Mars bases or even colonize other solar systems, yet here we are, 60 years later. It's naive to think every technology goes strictly on an exponential upward curve. Reality isn't that simple or repetitive, really. And, no, it's not "different this time". Every time people think it is different this time, and it never is. We don't have flying cars, hypersonic jets, molecular assemblers, AGI. We won't have them tomorrow either, just because Sam Altman says so.