3 ms·
The essay isn't called "How to optimize your likelihood of retiring comfortably" > You can't know whether it will turn into a company worth billions or one tha
by zild3d 3y ago
The essay isn't called "How to optimize your likelihood of retiring comfortably"
> You can't know whether it will turn into a company worth billions or one that goes out of business. So when I say I'm going to tell you how to start Google, I mean I'm going to tell you how to get to the point where you can start a company that has as much chance of being Google as Google had of being Google.
- PaulDavisThe1st 3y ago... and that chance is essentially extremely close to zero. People seem to think that Google is some sort of existence proof that there's a non-zero chance (and perhaps even quite a good one) of starting a company with this level of success. And they are correct. However, this is not the same probability at all as the chance that your company will turn out like that.