4 ms·
Well you can calculate that somewhat, right. If you're "top-1%" in skill, enough to get hired at Google (even if you did it for the badge), then did you or did
by candiodari 3y ago
Well you can calculate that somewhat, right. If you're "top-1%" in skill, enough to get hired at Google (even if you did it for the badge), then did you or did you not start a business?
Google: 180,000 employees. Let's say including ex-employees 250,000
These started 1,200 companies, according to the only source I could find. These collectively apparently made their founders ~20 billion. Let's say (heh) that it's a power law, let's say the top 10 got 1 billion each.
So we're talking the odds for an "average" software engineer to get to 1 billion is about 0.1% * 10/180000 = 0.000005556%, or about 1 in 18 million.
Odds for a current or ex-Google engineer: 1 in 18,000.
- jvanderbot 3y agoThis calculates the odds an ex-googler makes a billion dollars. That's not really what I asked, but is a good Fermi question nonetheless!
- gizmo 3y agoThe number of billionaires yc has produced in 4000 or so startups (with many future billionaires in the pipeline) suggests your numbers are off by, what, 100x? If we assume that a Google Engineer is as qualified as a yc founder, which isn’t quite true but still.