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I cut cost overruns for things like this some slack because I know, irrefutably, that anyone who thinks they can estimate a budget for a one-of-one, never-been-
by snakeyjake 3y ago
I cut cost overruns for things like this some slack because I know, irrefutably, that anyone who thinks they can estimate a budget for a one-of-one, never-been-done-before, object like Euclid is a liar.
I know all about the techniques. I've been in the meetings. I've seen the spreadsheets. Your parametric cost model is adorable.
But at the end of the day, you're just lying with math.
And if you have to lie a little bit to get a space telescope built... no sweat.
- echoangle 3y agoIs the stated predicted cost really their honest prediction? I thought they always lowball on purpose to make approval easier. Otherwise, I don’t understand why they not just double every prediction by default, that would probably increase accuracy.