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Things are either going to end up being really awesome for everyone, or really terrible for most of us. There is absolutely no middle ground where things someho

Things are either going to end up being really awesome for everyone, or really terrible for most of us. There is absolutely no middle ground where things somehow stay "the same". The fact that these technologies seem to be exclusively the playground of well-resourced corps and governments does not give me too much hope for a positive outcome. Regardless of the outcome, it should be a fun ride.

fragmede 3y ago
This future isn't going to happen all at once, so like you said, it's going to be a fun/interesting ride. It'll take a long time for this level of robotics to trickle down to where the little people can afford one. First it'll be industrial use where things are simply too dangerous and robots are cheaper than humans. Say they start with a cost of $3 million. Personally, I can't afford that. so my dreams of having a robot help with maintaining apartment are sadly a long ways off, even after the technology is here. Look at self driving cars. Waymo’s got it figured out - it's here and it works, but if you’re not in Phoenix or San Francisco, LA, or soon to be Austin, you’d think it’s still a work in progress. They haven’t put Uber/Lyft out of business just yet though. So that middle ground will exist, though one can't say for how long. One possibility I see is the upper-upper middle class, with their wealth, will be able to become full time patrons of the arts, knowing full well that the human is leveraging AI in their creations for their patron to enjoy. More than they are already, I guess. There is a certain skill to using AI effectively and while the argument is that improvements to AI mean that skill won’t be necessary, that remains to the seen. So I think it'll just take so long for the middle ground to exist that, well, the end state remains to be seen. The future will be unevenly distributed for a long time yet.
singularity2001 3y ago
summarized we might reach an age of even more abundance and leisure like Paradise before things turning to hell. I think even Sama said something similar

fragmede 3y ago

This future isn't going to happen all at once, so like you said, it's going to be a fun/interesting ride. It'll take a long time for this level of robotics to trickle down to where the little people can afford one. First it'll be industrial use where things are simply too dangerous and robots are cheaper than humans. Say they start with a cost of $3 million. Personally, I can't afford that. so my dreams of having a robot help with maintaining apartment are sadly a long ways off, even after the technology is here. Look at self driving cars. Waymo’s got it figured out - it's here and it works, but if you’re not in Phoenix or San Francisco, LA, or soon to be Austin, you’d think it’s still a work in progress. They haven’t put Uber/Lyft out of business just yet though. So that middle ground will exist, though one can't say for how long. One possibility I see is the upper-upper middle class, with their wealth, will be able to become full time patrons of the arts, knowing full well that the human is leveraging AI in their creations for their patron to enjoy. More than they are already, I guess. There is a certain skill to using AI effectively and while the argument is that improvements to AI mean that skill won’t be necessary, that remains to the seen. So I think it'll just take so long for the middle ground to exist that, well, the end state remains to be seen. The future will be unevenly distributed for a long time yet.

singularity2001 3y ago

summarized we might reach an age of even more abundance and leisure like Paradise before things turning to hell. I think even Sama said something similar