this Naively, if any of the predictions could be made +EV accounting for time preference, the boffins' predictions should have been mirrored into the market to

this Naively, if any of the predictions could be made +EV accounting for time preference, the boffins' predictions should have been mirrored into the market to someone's profit. I remain unconvinced that they're not merely very lucky, the same way that some hedge fund operators or day traders are lucky.