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Agree, totally valid points. Also take a look at rare diseases and doctors [1], in which machines are already better at diagnosing thousands of different rare
by emporas 3y ago
Agree, totally valid points.
Also take a look at rare diseases and doctors [1], in which machines are already better at diagnosing thousands of different rare diseases. Is is fair to say that machines are better at diagnosing diseases in general, just because they diagnose rare diseases, which each one, every doctor will need to diagnose once or twice in his career? Not clear at all.
Right now we are constrained by data, but that constraint will go away in 5 years or so. Will AGI will be achieved by then effortlessly? I have my doubts. My sentiment is that, even if AGI is never achieved, every small advancement in reasoning ability, in context window, in multimodal sensors and actuators, will have a very broad effect on jobs, on the economy and the way we are currently producing anything.
[1]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_6GhUjblqKg&t=826s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_6GhUjblqKg&t=826s