3 ms·
Part of me hopes this is true, that AGI (or even worse - ASI) will never be fully realized. Too disruptive. A counter example to nuclear power or space travel
by xcv123 3y ago
Part of me hopes this is true, that AGI (or even worse - ASI) will never be fully realized. Too disruptive.
A counter example to nuclear power or space travel is integrated circuits. This technology has transformed our society and we haven't reached the end of it yet.
Our own brains are living proof that intelligence is possible with lower power consumption. I watched a recent lecture by Geoffrey Hinton where he mentioned future AI hardware based on analog integrated circuits could reduce the power consumption by orders of magnitude [1].
It is possible that we will hit a wall and never achieve anything more than Chat GPT++++, but the smartest people in town mostly believe that we will create machines that exceed human intelligence and capability.
We have some understanding of how neural networks work under the hood. The scale of the current models are too vast to comprehend in their specific details, but I think we understand them in principle.
[1] Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological intelligence?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0