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There are comments similar to this all throughout the thread. It reminds me of the movie Moneyball. Even when the numbers are clear to see, people will still mu
by Asraelite 3y ago
There are comments similar to this all throughout the thread. It reminds me of the movie Moneyball. Even when the numbers are clear to see, people will still much rather follow their intuition. The Oakland Athletics' insistence on sticking to the numbers anyway is what led to their enormous success, and now the same strategy is copied by sports teams around the world.
It can be hard to convince people with math alone.
- lz400 3y agoI'm onboard with trusting data driven and numbers approach. This one just seems like a bad one if it doesn't account for how obvious actions would alter its results. But as some other comment said, maybe this base rate is not the whole story and it's just one ingredient in the total risk calculation. That makes more sense.