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I took meteorology in high school and our teacher made us do a daily prediction exercise that I think would benefit all people, especially those who put too muc
by TheCowboy 3y ago
I took meteorology in high school and our teacher made us do a daily prediction exercise that I think would benefit all people, especially those who put too much weight into their own anecdata.
We just had to make a prediction for the next day's weather. Then compare our prediction to the forecasted prediction. It didn't matter how accurate we were for the grade. Just that we systematically performed this exercise.
It really made one appreciate the quality of forecasts, and that no, the "weather man" is not always wrong at all. A lot of huffing and puffing is from people who lack any rigor in their observations. And if you're trying to contest the accuracy of weather forecasts, or any form of forecasting really, then you really should provide some hard evidence.