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This is what drives me mad about this kind of article: > The team had an answer, and it’s an answer that goes some way toward explaining why this group has man
by jemmyw 3y ago
This is what drives me mad about this kind of article:
> The team had an answer, and it’s an answer that goes some way toward explaining why this group has managed to get so good at predicting the future.
Then a whole section and a half of stuff I don't care about to get to the answer:
> there was broad agreement that the base rate of war — between China and Taiwan or just between countries in general — is not very high
- LastTrain 3y agoI feel like that sometimes too, and I get especially annoyed when I think it is being done to to make me scroll through more ad impressions. I don't think that is the case with this one though. Writers are creative, and they want people to enjoy their writing on a level that is more than just digesting the pertinent facts. My guess is that this author thought they'd whet our appetite enough that we'd want to read the rest of the article. The rest of the article IS interesting but IMO kind of a non-sequitur to the main premise and to your point, gets in the way.
- brunblanc 3y agoAt least half of the article was a synopsis of Tetlock's books. So as a summary, it was okay. If it gets people to go and read the real research though, it's worthwhile.