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"If I believed that, I'd be starting a development agency tomorrow." The company making Devin is doing just that. As we can see, it will take some work to perf

"If I believed that, I'd be starting a development agency tomorrow." The company making Devin is doing just that. As we can see, it will take some work to perfect.

pdimitar 3y ago
The "some work" phrase is doing a lot of work for you here. It can easily take them 100 years as well and they will get broke long before. I see nothing in the original article that doesn't strike me as the techno-optimism of the 1960s where people made movies and books saying "It's the year 2003 and the humanity is exploring the vast depths of the Universe". So again, it's a very plain old boring techno-optimism. I am sure they can automate some work (like scaffold a certain CRUD part of the app) but there are always nuances and specifics and the current generation AI has so far proven inadequate in catching those and taking proper care of them.
Verdex 3y ago
If it was actually working for anyone, then they would be selling software engineering time at the same but slightly cheaper price as existing software engineering time costs today so they could capture those sweet margins. This is a company spending investor money selling pickaxe hand grips during a gold rush. For real evidence, look for companies selling engineering time much greater than the amount of their total engineer count who have good customer retention across projects.
- mrguyorama 3y ago
  It's hilarious. If Devin were any good, they wouldn't be selling access to it to random SWEs, they would be replacing Microsoft, Apple, Google, etc for that sweet sweet trillions of dollars! Where's the app they built in an afternoon using Devin? Where's the software product that Devin actually built a month ago and was being used by thousands of people? Their actual business seems to be closer to "Lets milk some of that sweet sweet high income from SWEs with FOMO about AI"
  - ozim 3y ago
    Yeah that's basically straight up the reasoning I came up after watching demos...

"If I believed that, I'd be starting a development agency tomorrow." The company making Devin is doing just that. As we can see, it will take some work to perfect.

pdimitar 3y ago

The "some work" phrase is doing a lot of work for you here. It can easily take them 100 years as well and they will get broke long before. I see nothing in the original article that doesn't strike me as the techno-optimism of the 1960s where people made movies and books saying "It's the year 2003 and the humanity is exploring the vast depths of the Universe". So again, it's a very plain old boring techno-optimism. I am sure they can automate some work (like scaffold a certain CRUD part of the app) but there are always nuances and specifics and the current generation AI has so far proven inadequate in catching those and taking proper care of them.

Verdex 3y ago

If it was actually working for anyone, then they would be selling software engineering time at the same but slightly cheaper price as existing software engineering time costs today so they could capture those sweet margins. This is a company spending investor money selling pickaxe hand grips during a gold rush. For real evidence, look for companies selling engineering time much greater than the amount of their total engineer count who have good customer retention across projects.

mrguyorama 3y ago
It's hilarious. If Devin were any good, they wouldn't be selling access to it to random SWEs, they would be replacing Microsoft, Apple, Google, etc for that sweet sweet trillions of dollars! Where's the app they built in an afternoon using Devin? Where's the software product that Devin actually built a month ago and was being used by thousands of people? Their actual business seems to be closer to "Lets milk some of that sweet sweet high income from SWEs with FOMO about AI"
- ozim 3y ago
  Yeah that's basically straight up the reasoning I came up after watching demos...