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I don't think it's the end of software work yet. A lot of these AI companies are promising the world and of course no one can deliver on that. I think it's mo
by raytopia 3y ago
I don't think it's the end of software work yet.
A lot of these AI companies are promising the world and of course no one can deliver on that.
I think it's more likely we'll enter another AI winter first after all these impressive party tricks get boring and investors realize that just because a product uses AI doesn't mean it provides any value.
- steve_adams_86 3y agoWhat do you expect would cause the next winter? Or in other words, what capabilities of AI in this context do you expect will stall next?
- raytopia 3y agoFailing to meet investors hype would be the biggest reason in my book. Also it seems like training and running these systems is incredibly costly and the prices AI companies charge for their products are being subsidized by investor money, which won't last forever.
- steve_adams_86 3y agoGood point. I've wondered about costs becoming prohibitive. However, I've seen impressive optimization of some models where compute requirements are reduced by orders of magnitude. I'm not sure if these accomplishments will be transferrable to all expensive AI use cases, though. If we were to pay for the actual costs at this point, I do wonder how many people would consider it worth the expense. But I wonder, how much should ChatGPT cost, for example?
- ipaddr 3y agoThe investor money running out is a likely outcome which will push ai prices higher and change who uses it.