4 ms·

I would have dismissed this thought a year ago but seeing how fast openai is moving, in 5 years those ai assistants will be what nowadays human junior/intermedi

• steve_adams_86 3y ago
  The fact that these agents don't sleep is what will really kill human developers. Even with my nearly 15 years of experience, I'm not sure I see companies justifying the cost of employing me soon when someone half as "capable"* as me can work relentlessly and tirelessly at churning out half-baked features. *I doubt AI agents will be able to use bigger picture foresight and reasoning (especially reasoning as software pertains to human user experiences) to architect sane applications (as we understand them today, at least) but this likely won't matter in a vast majority of cases.
• eloisant 3y ago
  That's exactly what people were saying of self driving cars 15 years ago. "We're so close, within 5 years we're have full self driving, and in 10 nobody will need a driver's licence!"
  • siva7 3y ago
    We're pretty close now, aren't we from within 10 years now!?
    • elicksaur 3y ago
      Yes, and next year we will be 10 years away from full self driving. By 2025, we should be 11 years away if all goes well.
  • zeroonetwothree 3y ago
    I remember discussing it in 2009 exactly as you say. I thought "my kids won't ever need to learn to drive". Sadly it turned out to be wrong :(
• CipherThrowaway 3y ago
  If this is the case, it would be more inline with how other complex professions work. Entry level positions in fields like medicine, law, the sciences, architecture, engineering etc can require years of intensive training before you're skilled enough to take on the role even at entry level.