I would say its not a super fruitful area of speculation because it doesn't really matter too much. If you consider wholesale destruction of humanity to be on t

I would say its not a super fruitful area of speculation because it doesn't really matter too much. If you consider wholesale destruction of humanity to be on the table, a coinflip or even a 90% chance that its friendly is not super comforting. Its kindof like relying on the UK's "letters of last resort" or the conscience of individual nuclear weapons operators when considering the likelihood of a MAD scenario. You're also already involving so many speculative sources of uncertainty, what's another either way? Reasonable people already disagree by orders of magnitude.