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You don't have to like him. But he's right more often than he's wrong, which is unusual for a political scientist. Sometimes he comes across as gloating when
by hackandthink 3y ago
You don't have to like him.
But he's right more often than he's wrong, which is unusual for a political scientist.
Sometimes he comes across as gloating when he notes the stupidity and failure of the foreign policy establishment. But that's fine, the way he's attacked.
- staunton 3y agoIs there a (preferably somewhat complete) list of predictions he's made publicly? I don't know a single one. Maybe some examples of his predictions that were correct or incorrect?
- everybodyknows 3y agoThere's a Youtube video of a talk in which he predicts Putin will "wreck" Ukraine. Can't find it now -- Youtube unsearchabilty. However, there's this from 2023: https://mearsheimer.substack.com/p/the-darkness-ahead-where-the-ukraine https://mearsheimer.substack.com/p/the-darkness-ahead-where-...
- hackandthink 3y agoI don't see any topic where he was really off the mark. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Mearsheimer https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Mearsheimer e.g. "Persian Gulf War" - "All of those predictions came true during the course of the war" Ukraine: Putin will wreck it Lebanon war: a desaster Israel: "In fact, he argued that relations between Israel and the Palestinians were likely to get worse in the years ahead" He predicted "that the United States was destined to compete aggressively with China" correctly. China becoming aggressive is still open.
- staunton 3y ago> I don't see any topic where he was really off the mark. Did you read the article? He admits himself that he was wrong about whether Russia would launch a full-scale attack on Ukraine.