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TIL 65% is not mainstream. Also, most of those who already choose to not own a car are already in that 35%, so of "people looking to buy a car" its even more w

• r00fus 3y ago
  No one runs numbers thinking the non-apartment dwelling population is going 100% EV. So 30% EV adoption is pretty mainstream, but not if it's 30% of 65%.
  • vel0city 3y ago
    If 50% of non-apartment households got an EV, that would be ~33% of all households with an EV. With your definition of 30% == "pretty mainstream", it is pretty achievable to have EVs be mainstream while excluding every apartment dwelling household. Roughly 8% of US households have zero cars. What do you imagine the breakdown is between apartment and single-family households? I'd guess probably all dense apartment, the main cohort we're talking about that would lack charging access. So for those actually looking to charge a car, if 50% of single family homes moved to an EV that would in reality be even more than just ~33% of the market, because 8 of the 35% of apartment dwellers weren't shopping for a car to begin with. It is really more like 27% of households want a car and live in an apartment that would be challenging to charge a car in. But hey unless we solve it for 27% of the population it just can't possibly be considered "mainstream".