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What do mean, "not falsifiable"? Do we have self-driving cars? LLM attorneys? LLM radiologists? No, no and no. And the continuous failure of self-driving car
by aredox 3y ago
What do mean, "not falsifiable"?
Do we have self-driving cars? LLM attorneys? LLM radiologists?
No, no and no.
And the continuous failure of self-driving cars should worry you.
- janalsncm 3y agoThe one that jumped out to me was his claiming that computers don’t truly understand language. At this point I don’t know what that means. I’ll be the first to admit the limitations of statistical language models, but for people like Marcus who have made a name for themselves as skeptics, it’s not in their interests to have falsifiable criticisms.
- kenjackson 3y agoWe do have self driving cars.
- aredox 3y agoTesla says: >The currently enabled Autopilot, Enhanced Autopilot and Full Self-Driving features require active driver supervision and do not make the vehicle autonomous. Also, how long will you have self-driving? It is notorious for having dangerous regressions after an update. Those AI systems are black boxes with stochastic behavior.
- sdenton4 3y agoAnd humans in cars are meat-boxes of stochastic behavior, prone to all kinds of dangerous regressions. I feel safer, as a cyclist, around Waymos than I do around many human-driven cars. That's even with the cyclist crash last week: it was one of the most common kinds of bicycle-car collisions (bike moving through an intersection hidden behind a truck, hit by a car turning left), and I feel confident that the vehicle responded faster to the situation than a human would have.
- becquerel 3y agoMy partner rides self-driving cars frequently, over a dozen times this year. The technology clearly and manifestly exists.
- aredox 3y agoGlorifying a lane assist that only works on highways by good weather is not self-driving. From Tesla's own admission: >The currently enabled Autopilot, Enhanced Autopilot and Full Self-Driving features require active driver supervision and do not make the vehicle autonomous.
- sdenton4 3y agoWaymo is doing just fine...
- aredox 3y agoAfter 5.5 billion dollars and 15 years of work... they taxi a few people in a few select cities. Not what was promised. https://electrek.co/2015/12/21/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-drops-prediction-full-autonomous-driving-from-3-years-to-2/ https://electrek.co/2015/12/21/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-drops-pre... A hundred billions have been sunk in other self-driving ventures that flopped without much for show. Wonder what could have been made with that money if the hyperhype didn't sink it there.
- sdenton4 3y agoThat was Elon Musk's promise... He sucks, I agree. But he is not the whole story, here.
- roenxi 3y agoWe do seem to have LLM attorneys, every so often there is a news story where one gets caught because the LLM fabricated a reference. But if they are getting caught sometimes, that means it is happening undetected in others.