> why not just simulate the war itself and figure out who wins? This only works if the consequences of losing are no big deal. If all that changes is which se

> why not just simulate the war itself and figure out who wins? This only works if the consequences of losing are no big deal. If all that changes is which set of leaders get to collect taxes vs having to swear off politics and go into industry or whatever, then sure. If instead the losing population is removed to provide more land for the winners? Maybe expecting them to do as the simulated result says is a bit much . Also on a vaguely related topic, I'd like to note that bank robberies are still a thing despite being well known to be approximately impossible to get away with.