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I feel like outside of the AI advancements, 2019 is a timeless year, and not much has changed from 2019-2024. Has it felt like anything has significantly change

I feel like outside of the AI advancements, 2019 is a timeless year, and not much has changed from 2019-2024. Has it felt like anything has significantly changed since then? 2024 is just 2019 with ChatGPT and Stable Diffusion.

kvonhorn 3y ago
It feels like everything is noticeably more expensive now than in 2019 and I'm seeing far more homeless people and their tents. Finding a job seems way tougher now, too, even though they're claiming a 3.7% unemployment rate.
- eropple 3y ago
  > It feels like everything is noticeably more expensive now than in 2019 Yup. The BLS suggests about a 20-25% increase on food between 2019 and 2022, and that's backed up by independent estimates. That said, we've seen much larger spikes in the past; in the 1970s you can see spikes in that ballpark in one year. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=1hsGr https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=1hsGr > Finding a job seems way tougher now, too, even though they're claiming a 3.7% unemployment rate. Maybe in tech (chiefly on the more junior or on the more support-ish side, from what I can tell), but that doesn't mean that "they" are describing something incorrectly--just that perhaps you're on the wrong side of an average. I mostly run in circles that are of not-tech-people, and while the jobs may suck, I get the feeling that finding them is not the hard part right now.
  - kvonhorn 3y ago
    > I mostly run in circles that are of not-tech-people, and while the jobs may suck, I get the feeling that finding them is not the hard part right now. I moved out of tech a few years back. I'm responding to ads that claim to be desperate to hire people, yet I'm not getting replies.
    - eropple 3y ago
      Huh. That sucks, I'm sorry to hear that--good luck out there.
icedchai 3y ago
2019 still feels like the last normal year of my life. Anyone else?
- sneed_chucker 3y ago
  Definitely resonates with me.
- karolist 3y ago
  2017 was my best, and last normal year. Things were "normal" in job market, no crazy over hiring and runaway inflation, local housing market ice hockey curve didn't happen yet where I am. I want to go back.
- deleted 3y ago
  [deleted]
- Xeyz0r 3y ago
  Yeah... It's like before and after for me
generic92034 3y ago
Russia's war against the Ukraine certainly qualifies as significant change by any measure.
lkbm 3y ago
Do you mean technology changes, life for tech workers, or life for the average American (or non-American)? In tech, the growth of remote work is big: I just changed jobs, and I live in South Bend IN. In 2019, finding work would have been really hard—I'd estimate fewer than 10% of dev roles were remote at the time (and roughly 0% in South Bend). Today, I feel like we're probably over 50% of all dev jobs fully remote. That's a huge change. Tech-wise, LLMs are significant, but otherwise, yeah, not a lot. For normal people...again, LLMs. Unemployment is down a fair bit, and real wages are up, especially for the bottom quartile, so those are both good news. It's a marginal change, of course, but a big deal for a lot of people. Dobbs is a big deal for many, many people. But compare 2014->2019: what big changes were there? Everyone switching to React? Trump? 2009->2014 does stand out a bit for smartphones going from relatively rare to ubiquitous, and tech-wise we had big growth in cloud hosting.
Xeyz0r 3y ago
Recently, I've been pondering this idea that everything seems to have come to a halt, but perhaps we just don't know much

kvonhorn 3y ago

It feels like everything is noticeably more expensive now than in 2019 and I'm seeing far more homeless people and their tents. Finding a job seems way tougher now, too, even though they're claiming a 3.7% unemployment rate.

eropple 3y ago
> It feels like everything is noticeably more expensive now than in 2019 Yup. The BLS suggests about a 20-25% increase on food between 2019 and 2022, and that's backed up by independent estimates. That said, we've seen much larger spikes in the past; in the 1970s you can see spikes in that ballpark in one year. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=1hsGr https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=1hsGr > Finding a job seems way tougher now, too, even though they're claiming a 3.7% unemployment rate. Maybe in tech (chiefly on the more junior or on the more support-ish side, from what I can tell), but that doesn't mean that "they" are describing something incorrectly--just that perhaps you're on the wrong side of an average. I mostly run in circles that are of not-tech-people, and while the jobs may suck, I get the feeling that finding them is not the hard part right now.
- kvonhorn 3y ago
  > I mostly run in circles that are of not-tech-people, and while the jobs may suck, I get the feeling that finding them is not the hard part right now. I moved out of tech a few years back. I'm responding to ads that claim to be desperate to hire people, yet I'm not getting replies.
  - eropple 3y ago
    Huh. That sucks, I'm sorry to hear that--good luck out there.

icedchai 3y ago

2019 still feels like the last normal year of my life. Anyone else?

sneed_chucker 3y ago
Definitely resonates with me.
karolist 3y ago
2017 was my best, and last normal year. Things were "normal" in job market, no crazy over hiring and runaway inflation, local housing market ice hockey curve didn't happen yet where I am. I want to go back.
deleted 3y ago
[deleted]
Xeyz0r 3y ago
Yeah... It's like before and after for me

generic92034 3y ago

Russia's war against the Ukraine certainly qualifies as significant change by any measure.

lkbm 3y ago

Do you mean technology changes, life for tech workers, or life for the average American (or non-American)? In tech, the growth of remote work is big: I just changed jobs, and I live in South Bend IN. In 2019, finding work would have been really hard—I'd estimate fewer than 10% of dev roles were remote at the time (and roughly 0% in South Bend). Today, I feel like we're probably over 50% of all dev jobs fully remote. That's a huge change. Tech-wise, LLMs are significant, but otherwise, yeah, not a lot. For normal people...again, LLMs. Unemployment is down a fair bit, and real wages are up, especially for the bottom quartile, so those are both good news. It's a marginal change, of course, but a big deal for a lot of people. Dobbs is a big deal for many, many people. But compare 2014->2019: what big changes were there? Everyone switching to React? Trump? 2009->2014 does stand out a bit for smartphones going from relatively rare to ubiquitous, and tech-wise we had big growth in cloud hosting.

Xeyz0r 3y ago

Recently, I've been pondering this idea that everything seems to have come to a halt, but perhaps we just don't know much