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By 2030 we will have progressed to a few atoms per transistor in bulk CMOS, to wafer scale integration [3] and probably replaced most metal wires with free spac
by morphle 3y ago
By 2030 we will have progressed to a few atoms per transistor in bulk CMOS, to wafer scale integration [3] and probably replaced most metal wires with free space optics [2]. We will see the first mass-manufactured SFQ [1] and RSFQ [4] superconducting Josephson junctions. Maybe we will see the first carbon nanotubes and superconducting circuits [5].
[1] https://youtu.be/LUFp6sjKbkE?t=21701 https://youtu.be/LUFp6sjKbkE?t=21701
[2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hWWyuesmhs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hWWyuesmhs
[3] https://vimeo.com/731037615 https://vimeo.com/731037615
[4] Rapid single flux quantum https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_single_flux_quantum https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_single_flux_quantum
[5] https://phys.org/news/2008-03-future-carbon-nanotubes-superconductors.html https://phys.org/news/2008-03-future-carbon-nanotubes-superc...
- wtallis 3y agoDo you expect any of those to be in mass production six years from now?
- morphle 3y agoThat is literally the trillion dollar question. Will a Japanese or European company overtake ASML [1,2] in making bulk CMOS smaller? [1] https://www.asml.com/-/media/asml/files/investors/investor-days/2022/2_asml-investor-day-2022_demand-and-capacity---peter-wennink.pdf https://www.asml.com/-/media/asml/files/investors/investor-d... [2] https://www.asml.com/-/media/asml/files/investors/investor-days/2021/asml-investor-day-2021-technology-strategy---martin-van-den-brink.pdf https://www.asml.com/-/media/asml/files/investors/investor-d...