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The usual good quality writing by Bruce, with some thoughts that are on everybody's minds about the amplification of power imbalance looming because of big-tech
by nonrandomstring 3y ago
The usual good quality writing by Bruce, with some thoughts that are
on everybody's minds about the amplification of power imbalance
looming because of big-tech commercial AI.
Note; this is a call not to _regulate_ commercial AI but to directly
address the balance, or rather re-balance the playing field with a
(presumably free and open) public AI.
But what would this be exactly? A model? A standard for training
models? Another kind of abstract standard? A dataset for training
models? A publicly funded compute pool?
The elephant in the room is guardrails and alignment. Would this
public AI follow the same (completely broken and theoretically
impossible) restraints given to commercial AI services? Or would it
impose a different set of government restraints? Could we still shop
around for more or less permissive models?
The comparison Bruce misses is that obviously search was a very
important societal function. In the early days search looked like the
kind of "big" problem mentioned; particle accelerators, nuclear
reactors, road and rail networks... because you needed "big compute"
to do it... right?
But that was never really true. Google started in a garage. If any
national government had wanted to level the playing field they could
have stepped in circa 2000 and created a "public search". Why did that
not happen? Even in Europe or the UK, why can't I just search on an
ad-free authoritative engine run out of a minor tax for the benefit of
all economies? Instead we're 20 years on and Google - a frankly awful
search engine - is almost irrelevant now as a plethora of alternatives
exist.
And for that same reason I doubt we will see a positive offering in
the sphere of "public AI".
Instead I think "public" AI will mean individually private AI on
domestic and high-end hardware - very quickly now. It will move
on-prem and even into phone devices as is already happening. The next
big breakthroughs will be in training which will reduce it to a hobby
coders purview. The days of "Big AI" will turn out to be a short-lived
temporary advantage.