The market for narratives about what happened or will happen is much bigger than the market for "it's just noise/don't know" - so people cater to that market. T

The market for narratives about what happened or will happen is much bigger than the market for "it's just noise/don't know" - so people cater to that market. That does not mean, however, that they - or even their customers - don't understand what is being sold. The market for narratives is also bigger than the market for noisy predictions, which in turn feeds the supply for narratives.