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That would kill one of the largest projects SpaceX is currently working on. Additionally, SLS has successfully demonstrated their part of the Artemis program w

That would kill one of the largest projects SpaceX is currently working on. Additionally, SLS has successfully demonstrated their part of the Artemis program with the Artemis I launch. SpaceX has not completed a full mission for its part in Artemis III which has now been delayed and caused NASA to start implementing plan B for Artemis V and beyond missions. It is theoretically possible that Blue Origin will land on the moon before SpaceX if Starship cannot work out all the issues in the next 2 years.

pests 3y ago
They should get to space first.
- kemotep 3y ago
  Blue Origin has successfully completed 24 launches to Space as of December 2023. To say they have never been to space is to not pay attention. While SpaceX is far and away the leader in private space companies, with significantly higher total number of launches and innovations compared to Blue Origin, it is still possible for them to fail to execute this one specific mission before Blue Origin’s. They should not rest on their laurels because they have completed hundreds of launches. The specifics of Artemis III require SpaceX to execute several launches of systems that have never been to space, and complete maneuvers in space refueling that have never been done before. If successful it will be a huge milestone in human space missions, let alone private space operations. They can fail to do this and because of delays from NASA and other partners could possibly have this mission completed after Blue Origin’s.
  - pests 3y ago
    Everything you say applies to BO too; except they have less experience and launches under their belt to begin with.
wongarsu 3y ago
Just to be clear, Artemis III was delayed first due to the legal challenge from Blue Origin, then again due to issues with the Orion capsule. SpaceX almost certainly wouldn't have been able to meet the original deadlines, but to their luck the other contributors don't have an easy time either.

pests 3y ago

They should get to space first.

kemotep 3y ago
Blue Origin has successfully completed 24 launches to Space as of December 2023. To say they have never been to space is to not pay attention. While SpaceX is far and away the leader in private space companies, with significantly higher total number of launches and innovations compared to Blue Origin, it is still possible for them to fail to execute this one specific mission before Blue Origin’s. They should not rest on their laurels because they have completed hundreds of launches. The specifics of Artemis III require SpaceX to execute several launches of systems that have never been to space, and complete maneuvers in space refueling that have never been done before. If successful it will be a huge milestone in human space missions, let alone private space operations. They can fail to do this and because of delays from NASA and other partners could possibly have this mission completed after Blue Origin’s.
- pests 3y ago
  Everything you say applies to BO too; except they have less experience and launches under their belt to begin with.

wongarsu 3y ago

Just to be clear, Artemis III was delayed first due to the legal challenge from Blue Origin, then again due to issues with the Orion capsule. SpaceX almost certainly wouldn't have been able to meet the original deadlines, but to their luck the other contributors don't have an easy time either.