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It's not just the volume of original data that matters here. From empirics we know performance scales roughly like (model parameters)*(training data)*(epochs).
by sigmoid10 3y ago
It's not just the volume of original data that matters here. From empirics we know performance scales roughly like (model parameters)*(training data)*(epochs). If you increase any one of those, you can be certain to improve your model. In the short term, training data volume and quality has given a lot of improvements (especially recently), but in the long run it was always model size and total time spent training that saw improvements. In other words: It doesn't matter how you allocate your extra compute budget as long as you spend it.
- leereeves 3y agoIn smaller models, not having enough training data for the model size leads to overfitting. The model predicts the training data better than ever, but generalizes poorly and performs worse on new inputs. Is there any reason to think the same thing wouldn't happen in billion parameter LLMs?
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- sigmoid10 3y agoThis happens in smaller models because you reach parameter saturation very quickly. In modern LLMs and with current datasets, it is very hard to even reach this point, because the total compute time boils down to just a handful of epochs (sometimes even less than one). It would take tremendous resources and time to overtrain GPT4 in the same way you would overtrain convnets from the last decade.