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Wow, so I went and downloaded their "methodology" document. Some highlights: In prior years, they made an attempt to estimate the true fuel consumption and emi
by djao 3y ago
Wow, so I went and downloaded their "methodology" document. Some highlights:
In prior years, they made an attempt to estimate the true fuel consumption and emissions rate of gasoline cars (which is invariably higher than the EPA figures), but in this year's edition they reverted back to the EPA numbers because "To what extent [the prior year practice] is appropriate for new vehicles today is unclear". This makes gasoline cars and hybrids look better than they really are.
They assume that PHEVs drive 50% of their miles on mains electricity. This is, needless to say, a completely bogus assumption.
They randomly add 11 cents per kWh to the cost of nuclear power to account for possible future nuclear accidents. Okay, whatever.
Their "green score" function is heavily skewed to mask the damage inflicted by gasoline cars. The difference between a score of 71 (Toyota Prius) and 57 (Tesla Model Y) is about 0.5 cents of environmental cost per mile. The difference between a score of 30 (GMC Sierra) and 20 (Mercedes AMG) is 1 cent of environmental cost per mile. In reality there is a larger difference between the (bad) GMC Sierra and the (even worse) Mercedes AMG than there is between the Prius and the Tesla, but their "green score" makes it seem like the difference between a Prius and a Tesla is larger.
- tzs 3y ago> They assume that PHEVs drive 50% of their miles on mains electricity. This is, needless to say, a completely bogus assumption How is it "needless to say"? The average US driver averages about 38 miles per day. Nearly every PHEV for sale in the US a year ago [1] except for some high end sports cars that sell for $100k+ had an electric range of more of at least half of 38 miles. That makes it at least plausible that the average PHEV will in fact drive 50% of their miles in EV mode. [1] https://www.caranddriver.com/features/g15377500/plug-in-hybrid-car-suv-vehicles/ https://www.caranddriver.com/features/g15377500/plug-in-hybr...
- djao 3y agoSimply put, the assumption is not factually true, based on actual owner surveys, for example https://theicct.org/publication/real-world-phev-us-dec22/ https://theicct.org/publication/real-world-phev-us-dec22/ "Real-world electric drive share may be 26%-56% lower than assumed within the EPA labeling program." "Weighting by number of vehicles per model, real-world fuel consumption averages are 42-67% higher than EPA label consumption"