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> Without gerrymandering Emphasis on this part

• rayiner 3y ago
  Yes, that’s why OP cited the Congressional popular vote. What’s happening is that both parties gerrymander, so it largely cancels out. For example in Maryland, democrats won 65% of the 2022 Congressional popular vote, but hold 87.5% of the House seats. The 450,000 or so excess Republican votes—votes for republicans which didn’t contribute to a Republican house seat—cancels out some excess Democratic votes in Montana or Wyoming.
  • chabes 3y ago
    Indeed, but there are other factors at play, in regards to the influence of gerrymandering on voting in general
    • rayiner 3y ago
      You can speculate about such factors, but the House popular vote tends to line up pretty well with opinion polling of the "generic Congressional ballot"--which is a nationwide measure that isn't affected by gerrymandering. For example, republicans were leading by up to 10 points in polling in 2010 before they ultimately won by 7 points: https://news.gallup.com/poll/142718/gop-unprecedented-lead-generic-ballot.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/142718/gop-unprecedented-lead-g....