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That's a different scenario. You're describing an effective stalemate and, in Zehain's opinion, the best possible outcome. If Ukraine were to "win," i.e., take
by bumby 3y ago
That's a different scenario. You're describing an effective stalemate and, in Zehain's opinion, the best possible outcome. If Ukraine were to "win," i.e., take back all their lost territory, Zehain feels they would have the opinion that the Ukrainian thought is that the only way to prevent Russia from regrouping and trying again is to take the fight into Russian territory. This would include logistical hubs like Belgorod and Rostov-on-Don. In that scenario, Russia, already losing the war, would feel a nuclear strike may be their best defensive option.
- lupusreal 3y agoUkraine pushing the front into Russia is a fantasy scenario. Of the realistic scenarios, a frozen conflict has the best outcome for Ukraine; that's their "win" scenario and getting will take quite a lot of determination.
- bumby 3y agoWhat makes you think so strongly that it's a fantasy? I'm not sure if you're conflating "Ukrainian forces in Moscow" with what I had actually said. I'm not claiming they push into Moscow. The logistics hubs I mentioned are less than 50 miles from the border; it's not implausible to me that Ukraine strikes them just to prevent them from being a staging post for yet another counterattack. I think a lot of the plausibility also depends on the level of support Ukraine has from Europe and the US.