I think the plan was to capture Kyiv with paratroopers in the first 24 hours and install a puppet government. After that, plan B was to do it by encircling the

I think the plan was to capture Kyiv with paratroopers in the first 24 hours and install a puppet government. After that, plan B was to do it by encircling the capital with armored units. That got bogged down and repelled. Ukraine wouldn't accept a peace deal without recovering Crimea and Donbas, which they are very far from taking by force. So both sides are going to grind it out until one of them has a political rupture a la 1917 or 1991.