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This method seems to work pretty well: https://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-greatest-predictor-of-future-stock-market-returns/ https://www.
by purplerabbit 3y ago
This method seems to work pretty well: https://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-greatest-predictor-of-future-stock-market-returns/ https://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/the-single-gr...
Unique in that it seems statistically verified. Here’s an up-to-date version of the projection: https://financial-charts.effingapp.com/ https://financial-charts.effingapp.com/
- jordo 3y agoOK soooooo.... Prediction is there is going to be a correction as % holding stocks are currently close to an all-time high. So what asset am I buying right now?
- amw-zero 3y agoDo not use the word "verified" here.
- potsandpans 3y agoI don't know enough to be able to comment on the content, but am nonetheless extremely skeptical that this person managed to find something that > predicts the market’s future long-term returns better than any other classic valuation metrics to date developed–price to earnings (P/E), price to book (P/B), price to sales (P/S), CAPE, q-ratio, Market Cap to GDP, Fed