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Based on other comments, it seems the people that refuse to accept the answer that it's better to switch and not 50/50 are nitpicking how the game is described.
by Sohcahtoa82 3y ago
Based on other comments, it seems the people that refuse to accept the answer that it's better to switch and not 50/50 are nitpicking how the game is described.
The idea is supposed to be that Monty always reveals a goat. He does not pick a door at random to reveal before offering the choice to switch. If you pick door A, and the car is in door B, he will reveal door C and ask if you want to switch. If you pick A, the car is in C, then he will open door B and ask if you want to switch.
Expanding it to 100 doors with Monty opening 98 of them and then offering you the opportunity to switch should make it very intuitive. Let's say you pick door 7, and Monty then opens every door except your door and say, door 48, all revealing goats, then it should make you think "Wow...very odd that he didn't reveal door 48...there must be a reason he skipped that specific door".
Make it 1,000,000 doors. You choose door 1. Monty opens every door except number 423,901, and all the doors he opened had goats. You're tired and hungry because all you've done for 4 days is watch Monty open doors to goats, but you should certainly be thinking it's odd that he skipped that one specific door. You should probably switch, though maybe take a nap before claiming your car.