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I actually like to back up even further and start with this problem: There are 1000 doors. You pick one. There's a 1 in 1000 chance you get it right. Now, do yo
by dynm 3y ago
I actually like to back up even further and start with this problem: There are 1000 doors. You pick one. There's a 1 in 1000 chance you get it right. Now, do you want what's behind your door, or what's behind the other 999 doors? https://dynomight.net/2020/09/17/making-the-monty-hall-problem-weirder-but-obvious/ https://dynomight.net/2020/09/17/making-the-monty-hall-probl...
- mihaic 3y agoI think this is the clearest explanation I've heard of the principle, kudos!
- czzr 3y agoIronically this is exactly the explanation vos Savant gave in her original column.
- cynix 3y agoDo you really want 998 goats though? It must cost a fortune to transport them home from the studio, finding a space for them to live in, and feed them, etc.