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As this brilliant cartoon points out, we've had 128 years of warnings about human-induced climate change, and over all those years, humanity did not change cour
by cs702 3y ago
As this brilliant cartoon points out, we've had 128 years of warnings about human-induced climate change, and over all those years, humanity did not change course.
That's because warnings and exhortations rarely accomplish anything.
Things tend to change only after there's no other choice, i.e., when there's a crisis.
There's an insightful quote from Milton Friedman on this:
"Only a crisis -- actual or perceived -- produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around. That, I believe, is our basic function: to develop alternatives to existing policies, to keep them alive and available until the politically impossible becomes the politically inevitable."[a]
I disagree with Friedman on many things, but on this, I think he was right.
It is only now, when we find outselves in the early stages of crisis (unprecedented heat waves, perpetual giant fires, etc.), that the work of all those scientists and engineers who have been documenting, predicting, and warning about climate change for the past 128 years is finally being put to good practical use.
Hopefully it's not too late.
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[a] https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/110844-only-a-crisis---actual-or-perceived---produces-real https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/110844-only-a-crisis---actu...
- kibwen 3y ago> Warnings and exhortations never accomplish anything. Except that warnings and exhortations did accomplish the result of causing nations to begin banning CFCs back in 1987, well before the hole in the ozone layer became a global crisis.
- cs702 3y agoYes. I edited my comment to replace "never" with "rarely," which more closely reflects what I meant to write the first time around. Thank you!
- mlrtime 3y agoI agree, and if you could magically go back during the industrial revolution and show everyone what would happen to the world, I doubt there would be a difference. The increase in the then-current living conditions increased so much that not doing it wouldn't make sense to them. Same as if our future selves came from 128 years from the future and told us to all stop doing something, it would be near impossible.