My first reaction as well. His bio [1] does seem to support the assertion, and I've heard of his work on prediction markets and the term the Great Filter, but t

My first reaction as well. His bio [1] does seem to support the assertion, and I've heard of his work on prediction markets and the term the Great Filter, but that same bio is also all sorts of red-flaggy to me. He has "1100 media mentions?" You need to put that in your university bio page? 1. https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/bio.html https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/bio.html