Do you have evidence to back your claims up besides "the hype is overblown"? Because hype only indicates that the precise hyped up claims are wrong, it doesn't

Do you have evidence to back your claims up besides "the hype is overblown"? Because hype only indicates that the precise hyped up claims are wrong, it doesn't imply the opposite extreme (i.e. LLMs can never achieve AGI) must be true.