3 ms·

The only parts of movies or TV that this will be useful for is non-character-driven filler that doesn't move the plot along. It will be great for things like ac

The only parts of movies or TV that this will be useful for is non-character-driven filler that doesn't move the plot along. It will be great for things like action scenes and car chases, or staring wistfully at the ocean. But they still need actors and a story, and to tie those together seamlessly with whatever is generated. We're very far away from doing that in a way that will look or feel good. Special effects are nothing new. But we all know special effects don't make a good movie.

BadHumans 3y ago
You aren't thinking about generative voice AI or LLMs. Putting it all together, it is not surprising that creatives are afraid they will be done in under 5 years.
squarefoot 3y ago
Very true, today, but how far are we from something that takes a book as script and spits out a full movie? We have a huge library of ultra cheap forgotten novels that will make excellent prompts for killer personal productions once technology allows it. Who will ever go watch a movie if they can upload the book to their server and get the movie in minutes?
browningstreet 3y ago
Think more about the backgrounds used in shows like Mandalorian. Think about the size of the stage/studio/set that Mandalorian filmed on. It's going to get smaller, and the backgrounds and other details used in music videos, tv shows, commercials and films will be far more virtual than even today. All the components will still be needed, but the levels and origins of them all will change. If you go back and look at how the median productions have changed at 5 year intervals (going in the past), it'd be a poor choice to commit $800M to something that's probably going to remain exceedingly fluid for a while. The SFX industry is probably the most prepared to shift, as it's already screens, pixels, and servers. The days of green dots are already (mostly) over (see the ILM SFX reel for The Creator -- wholesale human detail replacements without tracking dots). The change will affect everyone else more.

BadHumans 3y ago

You aren't thinking about generative voice AI or LLMs. Putting it all together, it is not surprising that creatives are afraid they will be done in under 5 years.

squarefoot 3y ago

Very true, today, but how far are we from something that takes a book as script and spits out a full movie? We have a huge library of ultra cheap forgotten novels that will make excellent prompts for killer personal productions once technology allows it. Who will ever go watch a movie if they can upload the book to their server and get the movie in minutes?

browningstreet 3y ago

Think more about the backgrounds used in shows like Mandalorian. Think about the size of the stage/studio/set that Mandalorian filmed on. It's going to get smaller, and the backgrounds and other details used in music videos, tv shows, commercials and films will be far more virtual than even today. All the components will still be needed, but the levels and origins of them all will change. If you go back and look at how the median productions have changed at 5 year intervals (going in the past), it'd be a poor choice to commit $800M to something that's probably going to remain exceedingly fluid for a while. The SFX industry is probably the most prepared to shift, as it's already screens, pixels, and servers. The days of green dots are already (mostly) over (see the ILM SFX reel for The Creator -- wholesale human detail replacements without tracking dots). The change will affect everyone else more.