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I don't know what the future will bring but the entire rally around AI and especially nvidia is the purest definition of speculation...

• godelski 3y ago
  I'm highly critical of AI, even being a ML researcher myself. I'm happy to criticize GPT, explain, and collect many downvotes for these views. I say this not to act victim, but to give context for what I'm about to say. AI isn't going away. The hype is likely to die and I think we're seeing the cracks that come from over promising. But just because people are putting a polished turd on top of something doesn't mean that something isn't a golden nugget. Actually, that's my main complaint at what's going on. We got something special and very powerful. It is weird to cover it in shit and try to convince everyone it's a fancy polish. If scale is all you need, then we'll get there. But I'm not remotely convinced and see this as the bitter lesson's bitter lesson (a misinterpretation of the bitter lesson). But if we fund alternative pathways and hedge our bets, it's possible we get there without missing a step. But imo it looks like we've created a railroad and are just going all in on laying more tracks. Doesn't seem like the right move to me, but hey, I don't know the future any more than anyone else.