If human skills behind the model are a limiting factor, then OpenAI is in a pretty good position: they have a headstart, and software tends towards "winner take

If human skills behind the model are a limiting factor, then OpenAI is in a pretty good position: they have a headstart, and software tends towards "winner takes all" because of the low marginal cost. Look at Google search for a great example of this in a related (perhaps even the same...) market. Of course, a pretty good position doesn't guarantee winning, but GP didn't claim that. But yeah, there are probably outcomes in which LLMs are a local maximum and ultimately dead end, and OpenAI will have a hard time holding on because the market turns out more competitive. And somebody might beat them to whatever the next important invention is. We'll see.