3 ms·
There’s a difference between completing 80% of the work, and ruling out 80% of the options. We could rule out 80% of the options and still have 99% of the work
by halfcat 3y ago
There’s a difference between completing 80% of the work, and ruling out 80% of the options.
We could rule out 80% of the options and still have 99% of the work yet to be completed.
Like if we’re looking for a bacteria on the land surface of the earth, and we rule out 80% of the options, that leaves us with searching an area the size of Africa for a microscopic life form.
- medstrom 3y agoDoesn't change the fact that whatever probability you previously assigned to finding Planet 9, it should be one fifth of that now. (Sort of. Not so drastic if you have strong reasons to think there is a Planet 9)
- seeknotfind 3y agoThe suggestion is maybe part of the sky is easier to survey, so it was completed cheaply, even though that part wasn't the most likely part. I don't know which way it is, but it's an interesting question, and that's what OP is getting at for understanding the relevant probabilities instead of the relevant area.