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The guys who’s been a computer engineer “ever since”, ie for several decades, is using that as a reason to be passionate about what you do, completely ignoring

The guys who’s been a computer engineer “ever since”, ie for several decades, is using that as a reason to be passionate about what you do, completely ignoring the fact that the whole worry with AI is that it will obsolete industries within years.

jansan 3y ago
It is difficult to forsee what will happen. I am worried that AI will destroy industries, while on the other hand my son just used ChatGPT to teach himself how to program an Arduino, which is just awesome. Translators will lose jobs. Illustrators will lose jobs. But if you know how many jobs were lost in the printing industry (typesetting was an incredibly laborious work) which was completely offset by new jobs in other industries, things may turn out great. To be honest, despite having spent more than 50 years on this planet and having seen some things, I am completely undecided.
- PepGuardiola 3y ago
  > But if you know how many jobs were lost in the printing industry (typesetting was an incredibly laborious work) which was completely offset by new jobs in other industries, things may turn out great Comparison with past inventions do not take into account a few things: 1- AI may create new jobs, but it can also do those new jobs especially if they are digital. This is something that never happened before in human history. An easily available machine that can do what a human can do anywhere any time. 2- Cost and capitalism is a huge issue. If the cost of AI is the same as a human, but it can do the job 24/7 with no holidays, no sick days, no unions, and can execute and follow the whims of the prompter, then human will go for AI always. 3- Barrier to entry into any affected job will be low. People with minimal training or expertise will enter industries traditionally reliant on human expertise. This trend may lead to a proliferation of individuals claiming expertise in fields such as visual effects (VFX), which will blur the distinction between skilled professionals and amateur practitioners.
- jdiff 3y ago
  The printing industry's doing fine. There's big printers, small printers, they're doing more printing per person, but there's also far more printing being done total, and so far more people working in the printing industry now than then. And that's on top of the sprawling supply chains building and supplying the technology and materials to them. There is nothing like that for AI. The fact that something thematically similar happened in the past does not mean it's applicable here. Now, there are no new supply chains to build, this silicon's getting manufactured one way or another. No new jobs, just replace the department with an individual.
aleph_minus_one 3y ago
> ignoring the fact that the whole worry with AI is that it will obsolete industries within years. Ignore these hyped claims by AI entrepreneurs. These are made to hustle money from investors. :-)

jansan 3y ago

It is difficult to forsee what will happen. I am worried that AI will destroy industries, while on the other hand my son just used ChatGPT to teach himself how to program an Arduino, which is just awesome. Translators will lose jobs. Illustrators will lose jobs. But if you know how many jobs were lost in the printing industry (typesetting was an incredibly laborious work) which was completely offset by new jobs in other industries, things may turn out great. To be honest, despite having spent more than 50 years on this planet and having seen some things, I am completely undecided.

PepGuardiola 3y ago
> But if you know how many jobs were lost in the printing industry (typesetting was an incredibly laborious work) which was completely offset by new jobs in other industries, things may turn out great Comparison with past inventions do not take into account a few things: 1- AI may create new jobs, but it can also do those new jobs especially if they are digital. This is something that never happened before in human history. An easily available machine that can do what a human can do anywhere any time. 2- Cost and capitalism is a huge issue. If the cost of AI is the same as a human, but it can do the job 24/7 with no holidays, no sick days, no unions, and can execute and follow the whims of the prompter, then human will go for AI always. 3- Barrier to entry into any affected job will be low. People with minimal training or expertise will enter industries traditionally reliant on human expertise. This trend may lead to a proliferation of individuals claiming expertise in fields such as visual effects (VFX), which will blur the distinction between skilled professionals and amateur practitioners.
jdiff 3y ago
The printing industry's doing fine. There's big printers, small printers, they're doing more printing per person, but there's also far more printing being done total, and so far more people working in the printing industry now than then. And that's on top of the sprawling supply chains building and supplying the technology and materials to them. There is nothing like that for AI. The fact that something thematically similar happened in the past does not mean it's applicable here. Now, there are no new supply chains to build, this silicon's getting manufactured one way or another. No new jobs, just replace the department with an individual.

aleph_minus_one 3y ago

> ignoring the fact that the whole worry with AI is that it will obsolete industries within years. Ignore these hyped claims by AI entrepreneurs. These are made to hustle money from investors. :-)