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Germany will buy its F-35s. Poland will start taking delivery of its HIMARS from the US starting next year and will continue to order US hardware. As part of th

Germany will buy its F-35s. Poland will start taking delivery of its HIMARS from the US starting next year and will continue to order US hardware. As part of the deals that Poland and Germany signed, they will be ramping up local production to support the systems they are buying. One thing you're missing in lots of your predictions is that Ukraine had no US military presence. Poland does. There's 10k US troops in Poland right now. There's zero chance other European countries will be closing US military bases with the looming threat from Russia.

KingOfCoders 3y ago
"Germany will buy its F-35s" No. Germany needs those F-35 only for delivering nukes ("Nukleare Teilhabe") [0] replacing aging Tornados in that role. With Trump as the next president I don't think you find a German politician (except the far left and far right) who thinks sharing nukes with the US is working any longer. I'd think Germany will rather take French nukes instead of using US nukes in the future. "There's zero chance other European countries will be closing US military bases with the looming threat from Russia." With a US president shouting "Russia, go, invade Germany, rape, plunder and torture with my blessing" - US bases will all be shut in the coming decades. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_sharing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_sharing
- data_maan 3y ago
  I'm pretty sure Trump didn't say "rape" (source?).
  - Lutger 3y ago
    He said Russia can do what it wants. Given Russia's track record, rape will not be the worst of offenses.
- Wytwwww 3y ago
  > With a US president shouting Depending on what happens with the congress. There are still some semi-sane (concerning foreign policy) Republicans in the Senate of course they'll probably struggle a lot more with manipulating him/keeping him inline like in his first term. But I guess it's not unlikely that the democrats will lose both the senate and the house if Biden manages to lose. So yeah...

KingOfCoders 3y ago

"Germany will buy its F-35s" No. Germany needs those F-35 only for delivering nukes ("Nukleare Teilhabe") [0] replacing aging Tornados in that role. With Trump as the next president I don't think you find a German politician (except the far left and far right) who thinks sharing nukes with the US is working any longer. I'd think Germany will rather take French nukes instead of using US nukes in the future. "There's zero chance other European countries will be closing US military bases with the looming threat from Russia." With a US president shouting "Russia, go, invade Germany, rape, plunder and torture with my blessing" - US bases will all be shut in the coming decades. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_sharing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_sharing

data_maan 3y ago
I'm pretty sure Trump didn't say "rape" (source?).
- Lutger 3y ago
  He said Russia can do what it wants. Given Russia's track record, rape will not be the worst of offenses.
Wytwwww 3y ago
> With a US president shouting Depending on what happens with the congress. There are still some semi-sane (concerning foreign policy) Republicans in the Senate of course they'll probably struggle a lot more with manipulating him/keeping him inline like in his first term. But I guess it's not unlikely that the democrats will lose both the senate and the house if Biden manages to lose. So yeah...