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Surely not the last opposition figure and Russia will run out of manpower as every attacker has a higher loss than the defender. You forget Lukashenko, he wasn'
by TomK32 3y ago
Surely not the last opposition figure and Russia will run out of manpower as every attacker has a higher loss than the defender. You forget Lukashenko, he wasn't unwilling to let Belarus join the Russian Federation for no reason. As soon as Putin dies for whatever reason, Lukashenko will be the first to race to the Kremlin and take over.
Personally I have great hopes that an outsider like Kasparov could become President of Russia once Russia is defeated. He did attempt to run for presidency in 2007.
You do read the news? Ukraine is sinking the Russian Black Sea fleet ship by ship with cheap sea-drones. Ukraine is destroying Russian oil refineries and Russia has to reduce it's crude oil production now that India seems to saturated with cheap Russian oil.
On Ukraine ceding territory, I assume that's in case of a peace deal? Putin will sell that as a victory to the Russian people and prepare the next attack a few years later. This simply isn't an option for Europe to allow. Russia will crumble.
- jncfhnb 3y agoLukashenko taking over Russia is the funniest take I’ve heard about him
- selimthegrim 3y agoRemember at the time his competition was Yeltsin
- TomK32 3y agoAn here they are in 1997 signing the founding treaty of the Russia-Belarusian Union https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Union_State#/media/File:RIAN_archive_141088_Signing_Treaty_on_Establishing_Russian-Belarusian_Union.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Union_State#/media/File:RIAN_a...
- TomK32 3y agoSure sounds funny but here's a few things: * Lukashenko is president since the post was created, his position is quite solid and will be useful when Putin's time is over. * just two years into his presidency he signed a Union treaty with Russia, then still ruled by Yeltsin. Russia always understood that treaty as Belarus becoming part of Russia, something Putin is very keen on, extending Russia by force has happened more than once since 2000 but Belarus joining peacefully would push Putin's popularity. Lukashenko again and again promised things like introducing a common currency by 2004, 2005, 2006 and "maybe" 2007. Didn't happen. For Lukashenko it's a carrot he dangles in front of Putin. * Belarus didn't join the war against Ukraine, and Lukashenko profited a lot when he got Wagner to stop their rebellion.
- jncfhnb 3y agoI’m sorry but how are any of those points suppose to suggest Lukashenko, the unpopular ruler of a weak country slowly getting eaten by Russia, is poised to take control of Russia?
- CapricornNoble 3y ago>> as every attacker has a higher loss than the defender On what are you basing this assertion? I'm going to assume it's a flawed understanding of the oft-cited "3:1 rule", which a) isn't a rule, but a planning guideline b) never referred to casualty ratios, but to force ratios suggested for a successful attack. >> Personally I have great hopes that an outsider like Kasparov could become President of Russia once Russia is defeated. What influence does Kasparov have with Russia's security establishment? In other words, why would any of the men who actually wield power in the country support him?