3 ms·
Population was in declining prior to the One Child policy, and the trend line is now broadly in alignment with other East Asian countries, none of whom had such
by hunglee2 3y ago
Population was in declining prior to the One Child policy, and the trend line is now broadly in alignment with other East Asian countries, none of whom had such policies. One child policy certainly a miscalculation but it might actually have been an ineffectual one.
- tuatoru 3y agoYes, when one looks at the chart of TFR vs time in China, the main effect of the one child policy seems to have been a slight decrease in the rate at which TFR declined, for about five years. (Unless that was a result of the "barefoot doctor" program[1] reducing infant mortality. The barefoot doctor program was started slightly earlier.) China and other East Asian countries are textbook examples of what happens when credentialist societies gain effective birth control. Credentialism being the culture of requiring long and intense investment in a child's education for there to be hope of the child landing a "good job", i.e., social status. 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barefoot_doctor https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barefoot_doctor
- hunglee2 3y agovery difficult to reverse. The link seems less about systems of governance or government policy and mainly about educating women, which is critical for economic development, but which in turn creates incompatibilities for generational replacement. No country has achieved economic development w/o getting women into the labour force, and no country has reversed population decline after doing so