Bastardi's wager is good to reflect on at times like this. A meteorologist has a challenge for climate scientists [1](2011): > Bastardi is in a position to ch

Bastardi's wager is good to reflect on at times like this. A meteorologist has a challenge for climate scientists [1](2011): > Bastardi is in a position to change the conversation. He’s a meteorologist and forecaster with AccuWeather, and he proposes a wager of sorts. > “The scientific approach is you see the other argument, you put forward predictions about where things are going to go, and you test them,” he says. “That is what I have done. I have said the earth will cool .1 to .2 Celsius in the next ten years, according to objective satellite data.” Bastardi’s challenge to his critics — who are legion — is to make their own predictions. The challenge was taken up [2](2011): > If he is serious about wagering, I’ll propose a serious bet that temperatures will be consistent with a warming trend and not a cooling trend. And I’ll suggest stakes of $10,000 USD given from the loser to the winner. Bastardi backed down [3](2011): > With the way the article is couched, which I did not know would turn into a bet, I think that if I am wrong, then I will not have the 10k to bet anyway..since it seems that 35 years of forecasting is now on the line with this. I have never bet on the weather before, and I think since it now appears I am betting my entire livelihood on this, then that is enough. But what is the forecast by my opponent.. that it goes up as much as I say its going down. So I will again ask. What is your forecast.. lets see the numbers . But what is Zekes forecast.. for .2 to .4 warming. But these folks aren't interested in science anyway. The real clicks are in Greta rage-porn. [1] https://web.archive.org/web/20160130222801/https://www.nationalreview.com/article/257040/bastardis-wager-matthew-shaffer https://web.archive.org/web/20160130222801/https://www.natio... [2] https://rankexploits.com/musings/2011/bastardis-wager-you-bet/ https://rankexploits.com/musings/2011/bastardis-wager-you-be... [3] https://rankexploits.com/musings/2011/bastardis-wager-you-bet/#comment-66134 https://rankexploits.com/musings/2011/bastardis-wager-you-be...