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I'm very flattered that you enjoyed my comment, it's been my observation that failed novelists are entertaining posters somewhere on the Internet :) "How's that
by benreesman 3y ago
I'm very flattered that you enjoyed my comment, it's been my observation that failed novelists are entertaining posters somewhere on the Internet :) "How's that novel coming Brian? Still working on that novel?"
Levity aside, unfortunately this stuff is as real as Tuesday and taxes, and as serious as a heart attack used to be and an off-color tweet is now. This is the "Star Trek: TNG" v. "Blade Runner 2024" moment: for the first time in history the endless cycle of tennis courts and guillotines and eventually a new crop of nepotism-fueled classism awaiting its turn at the guillotine might end up in a spontaneously broken symmetry.
There are like 5-10 unanimous markers of human achievement that machines can trivially reproduce or exceed, and everyone acknowledges Chess and Go and Atari and fan-fiction and ImageNet and ImageNet fan-fiction are in that box.
But think about what an LLM actually does:
`argmax(P(next_token | {previous_tokens, corpus, joint_alignment_loss, epsilon}))`
They're human in a really scary sense: there's an old saying that if you can only be good at one thing, be good at lying, because then you're good at everything. LLMs beat pick-up artists in bars and tech CEOs in all-hands meetings all to hell at vaguely riffing with a ruthless, amoral, and narrow goal. If I ask Dolphin to talk like a VC? It says "path-dependent" every third sentence like it's got a Substack and a Tesla and a very respectable 3-bedroom in Los Gatos or Atherton.
If this stuff was floating around 20 years ago? We'd throw out the donor class without a second thought on seeing that a MacBook can talk like any power-broker but better.
Today? The capture is so far along that we might end up handing the reigns of "alignment" over to "effective altruists", at which point the situation is pretty static.
- luckman212 3y agoWhat did I just read? Not sure... fuckin enjoyed it though.